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Higher inflation drives jump in UK budget deficit in May

Higher inflation drives jump in UK budget deficit in May

ReutersFri, June 19, 2026 at 7:03 AM UTC

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The HM Treasury name is seen painted on the outside of Britain's Treasury building in central London, Britain November 25, 2015. REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett

LONDON, June 19 (Reuters) - British government borrowing jumped much more sharply than expected in May as higher inflation pushed up the cost of ‌servicing inflation-linked debt, official figures showed on Friday in unwelcome news for ‌the public finances.

Britain's government ran a budget deficit of £23.3 billion pounds ($30.7 billion) in May, up 30% on ​a year earlier and above all economists' expectations in a Reuters poll which had pointed to a little-changed reading of £18.5 billion.

Britain historically issued much more index-linked debt than other countries. This debt has interest payments and the amount to be paid back linked, ‌with a three-month lag, to ⁠retail price inflation, which was 3.1% in May and higher earlier in the year.

In March, before the impact of the U.S.-Iran ⁠war was clear, the government's budget watchdog forecast Britain would run a £115.5 billion deficit in the 2026/27 financial year, equivalent to 3.6% of national income and down from 4.3% ​in 2025/26.

But ​Friday's data showed that for the first ​two months of the financial ‌year, public sector net borrowing was 24% higher than in 2025 at £46.3 billion, compared with an OBR forecast of £38.6 billion.

"Several questions remain over whether the current plans will be sufficient to reduce public borrowing," said Matt Swannell, chief economic adviser to forecasters the ITEM Club.

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Debt interest costs in May alone were 54% higher than a ‌year earlier and the ONS said they were ​likely to rise further in next month's data.

Last ​week Britain offered investors the highest ​yield since at least 1998 when it sold £9 billion of ‌15-year debt.

The government is also struggling to ​finance extra defence ​spending within existing budget rules and previous promises to other departments, prompting defence minister John Healey to resign in protest last week.

Tax and other government ​revenues are up 4.1% so ‌far this year, while the cost of benefits including pensions is 7.4% ​higher and spending on public services has risen 2.9%.

($1 = 0.7582 pounds)

(Reporting ​by David Milliken; editing by Sarah Young)

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